Karen Conyers // 604-240-3377 // karen@karenconyers.ca

Committed to going the extra mile and ensuring that all of your needs are successfully met in a professional and honest manner.For Service and Commitment, let me help guide you with your next purchase or sale.

 
Wednesday, May 2, 2012

A One-hour Home Makeover? Impossible - maybe not.

Courtesy of the Real Estate Weekly - May 4th, 2012

 

With close to 25,000 homes on the market between Chilliwack and Vancouver, how do you make YOUR home stand-out?  Try some decorative urethane millwork pieces on for size.  Okay, not real wood, but they look like it without spending a lot of money.  

 

Project 1: Surround the interior of an entryway door with pilasters and a crosshead to maximize the look of your main door's interior.

 

Project 2: Install curved brackets under kitchen countertops and shelves to add dimension and visual appeal to the room.

 

Project 3: Add a 2 piece ceiling medallion around the top of a light fixture or ceiling fan in less than 10 minutes.  Interlocking pieces snap together for fast results.

 

Project 4: Use painted or stained mouldings to surround bath or bedroom mirrors.  Make sure the mouldings are moisture resistant.

 

Project 5:  Install a set of pallisters on both sides of the shower stall and a door crosshead overhead to upgrade the look of your kitchen or bathroom. 

 

Project 6:  To upgrade the look of a boring kitchen island add decorative brackets or corbels as accent pieces.  Just be mindful of where the knees go!

 

Project 7: Top of a standard bookshelf with an iimpressive combination acorn pediment to add style to any room.

 

Project 8: Arrange a collage of ceiling medallions on a wall for a decorative feature.  Faux finish, paint and stain in a variety of unique colours.  You can get small sampler paint colours from Benjamin Moore.

 

Project 9: Use a one-peice square or cathedral louver trim piece to frame a favorite poster or painting.  Finish with paint or stain to accent the image inside.

 

Project 10: Add a large sunburst window pediment half round above a bed to serve as a decorative headboard.

 

The solid urethane pieces, such as from Fypon, come preprimed and ready for installation.  All products need to be glued and then nailed or screwed to the wall, then painted.

 

So, have fun and get to work making YOUR home stand out above the rest and sell quicker.

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Saturday, February 11, 2012

The Best Asking Price for your Home

The Best Asking Price for your Home

 

Setting a realistic price for your home that reflects current market values will help sell your home quickly and for top dollar.  When you price your home properly, you increase the chances that the offer you receive will nearly match your asking price, and that there will be competing offers—which may net you even more in the long run. 

 

Your property has the best chance of selling within its first seven weeks on the market.  And, studies indicate that the longer a property stays on the market, the less it will ultimately sell for.  A property priced 10 % more than its market value is significantly less likely to sell within this window than a property priced close to its actual market value.  About three-quarters of homes on the market today are 5-10 % overpriced.  Sellers will usually over-price their homes by this margin if, either, they firmly believe the home is worth more than what the market indicates, or if they want to leave room for negotiation.  Either way, if you choose to over-price your home by this amount, you run the risk of increasing the amount of time your home spends on the market, and decreasing the amount of money you’ll ultimately receive. 

 

At the other end of the selling spectrum are houses that are priced below a fair market value.  Under-pricing often occurs when the owner is interested in a quick sell.  You can bargain on these homes attracting multiple offers and ultimately selling quickly at—or above—the asking price.

 

The knowledge and skills of an experienced Realtor will be invaluable when determining an appropriate asking price.  It is the job of your Realtor to know the current market and market trends inside and out, to be closely connected to the real estate market at large, and to be aware of other properties currently for sale in your particular area.  Based on this range of connections and knowledge, your Realtor should counsel you on how to price your home properly in order to attract the highest price possible, in the shortest period of time.

 

Before approaching this process, you should first do some homework yourself.  You’ll need to know the workings of the current market before you even begin to think about setting an asking price.  The market will always influence a property’s value, regardless of the state of a home, or its desirability.  Here are the types of market conditions and how they may affect you:

 

  1. Seller’s Market:

 

A Seller’s market is considered a “hot” market.  This type of market is created when demand is greater than supply—that is, when the number of Buyers exceeds the number of homes on the market.  As a result, these homes usually sell very quickly, and there are often multiple offers.  Many homes will sell above the asking price.

 

  1. Buyer’s Market:

 

A Buyer’s market is a slower market.  This type of market occurs when supply is greater than demand, the number of homes exceeding the number of Buyers.  Properties are more likely to stay on the market for a longer period of time.  Fewer offers will come in, and with less frequency.  Prices may even decline during this period.  Buyers will have more selection and flexibility in terms of negotiating toward a lower price.  Even if your initial offered price is too low, Sellers will be more likely to come back with a counter-offer. 

 

  1. Balanced Market:

 

In a balanced market, supply equals demand, the number of homes on the market roughly equal to the number of Buyers.  When a market is balanced there aren’t any concrete rules guiding whether a Buyer should make an offer at the higher end of his/her range, or the lower end.  Prices will be stable, and homes will sell within a reasonable period of time.  Buyers will have a decent number of homes to choose from, so Sellers may encounter some competition for offers on their home, or none at all.

 

Remember, a Realtor is trained to provide clients with this information about the market, helping you make the most informed decision possible.  The right Realtor will guide you through the ups and downs of the market and keep you up-to-date with the types of changes you might expect. 

 

Evaluate your house in the other main areas that affect market value:

 

  1. Location:

 

The proximity of your home to amenities, such as schools, parks, public transportation, and stores will affect its status on the market.  Also, the quality of neighbourhood planning, and future plans for development and zoning will influence a home’s current market value, as well as the ways in which this value might change. 

 

  1. Property:

 

The age, size, layout, style, and quality of construction of your house will all affect the property’s market value, as well as the size, shape, seclusion and landscaping of the yard.

 

  1. Condition of the Home:

 

This includes the general condition of your home’s main systems, such as the furnace, central air, electrical system, etc., as well as the appearance and condition of the fixtures, the floor plan of the house, and its first appearances.

 

  1. Comparable Properties:

 

Ask your Realtor to prepare you a general market analysis of your neighbourhood, so you can determine a range of value for your property.  A market analysis will provide you with a market overview and give you a glimpse at what other similar properties have been selling for in the area.

 

  1. Market Conditions/ Economy:

The market value of your home is additionally affected by the number of homes currently on the market, the number of people looking to buy property, current mortgage rates, and the condition of the national and local economy.

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Sunday, January 15, 2012

Renting Vs Buying

 

If you're wondering about renting vs buying and what to do some scenarios, take a look at this link

http://www.canadamortgage.com/calculators/rentvsown.cgi   and do some playing around.

 

I did a calculation of a $300,000.00 purchase, with $60,000.00 down (20%), 5yr, 30yr amortization at 4.05% term, fees of $250 per month and taxes at $200.00 per month (no other costs for my sample), and came out with the following scenario.

 

Now, I know that there are extra costs involved with both renting and owning a house, but this will give you a rough idea of what your money can do for you.  Have fun, play around, and you may be surprised.

 

The rental altern

 

Rent vs. Own Calculator

 

Use this calculator to compare options for renting or buying a home. Shows the Break-Even annual increase in a home value.


The Rent vs. Own Calculator determines how much a property must increase in value each year to perform as well as the rental option. Fill in all the fields below and click the "Calculate" button to view the results.
Purchase : Monthly : OWN Monthly : RENT
Price : Taxes : Rent :
Down Pmt : Other : Incr %/yr :
Rate : % Condo Fee : Other :
Mtg. Type: Cdn US   OTHER Rates :
      Term: Amort. Savings %:
Insur. Fee: Yes No     Marg. Tax %:
Home Sales Fee : %        

ative will allow you to save and invest both the downpayment of $ 60,000 and the monthly rental savings, initially at $ 398. At the end of the 60 month term your before-tax investment will have grown to $ 90,405, assuming the savings rate of 2 % per annum. After paying annual income taxes at 0 % on the investment interest gain, the investment will have grown to $ 90,405.

In order for the home purchase alternative with a mortgage interest rate of 4.05 % to perform as well as the rental option, the annual rate of property appreciation must be at least 1.11 % . Total property appreciation of 5.7 % together with principal repayment would result in homeowner's equity of $ 99,917 in 60 months, less the 3 % cost to market the home of $ 9,512, for a net gain of $ 90,405.

If the home value increased by more than $ 17,050 ( 5.7 % ) in 60 months, purchasing would be a better financial option than renting.


Canadian Calculation - Compounding Semi-Annually
NOTE: High Ratio mortgage required (down payment less than 25%. Insurance fees should apply. Insurance fees calculated are as set out by Canada Mortgage & Housing Corporation - CMHC).

  RENTOWN
Down Payment (20 %)   $ 60,000
First Mortgage Amount (Includes Ins. Fee of $ 0) $ 240,000
TOTAL PRICE   $ 300,000
 
Monthly Costs    
 

Mortgage Payment

  $ 1,148
  Property Taxes   $ 200
  Condo Fees   $ 250
  Other Costs $ 0 $ 0
  Rent Payments
($ 1,200 Month 1 to $ 1,200 Last Month)
$ 1,200  
Total Monthly Payment $ 1,200 $ 1,598
Monthly Cash Savings $ 398 
  RENTAL cost always lower than Monthly OWNERSHIP cost in example.
Future Value at Term ( 60 months)    
 

Down Payment Saved (@ 2 %)

$ 66,305 
 

Monthly Cash Savings (@ 2 %)

$ 24,100 
 

Taxes assumed to be paid annually (12th period) on interest.

 
 
  Required Home Price at Term End  $ 317,050
  Less : Mortgage Balance  ( $ 217,134 )
  Less : Sales Commission (@ 3 %)  ( $ 9,512 )
Equity at Term $ 90,405 $ 90,405
  Less Income Taxes on gain (@ 0% ) ( $ 0 ) $ 0
NET After Taxes $ 90,405 $ 90,405
 
Required ANNUAL Home Price Increase Rate 1.11 %
Required TOTAL Home Price Increase % (60 months) 5.7 %
Required TOTAL Home Price Increase (60 months) $ 17,050
It is always difficult to forecast home price increases, but if the likely Annual Increase is higher than 5.7 %, then buying a home would be the better option. If home prices do not rise by 5.7 %, then renting would be a better option. Note that other factors with home ownership may impact the financial decision including the potential to borrow funds at lower rates if you own a home.

Input a 0% commission rate if a sales commission is not payable. The savings rate is the percentage return on funds saved. The Mortgage Insurance Fee (Insur. Fee - ie. CMHC) is usually required for down payments less than 25%.

Other factors to consider include heating costs - are they included in rent ? Home Insurance costs may also be factored in as another cost. Additionally, maintenance costs should be considered as part of home ownership and may be added to "other costs".

 

COMPARE RATES
TERM OURS BANKS
6.mo
1yr.
3yr.
5yr.
  4.45%
3.50%
4.05%
5.29%

Quick Calculator

Back to Top  
 
Figures are rounded to nearest dollar.
The above information is for illustrative purposes only. We cannot guarantee its accuracy. Please contact your financial advisor for more specific information.
Calculator powered by CanadaMortgage.com

 

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Thursday, December 29, 2011

New Home: Best Real Estate investment in Canada

REW.CA November 2011.
 
Trends in Real Estate 2012" in Vancouver last week (november), the best investment they could find is also the most available: new single family detached house in Metro Vancouver and Greater Toronto.
 
Metro Vancouver in fact ranked No 1 in NORTH AMERICA for a potential investment in new homes, rating 6.5 on a 9 point scale, with Toronto a close second at 6.2.
 
'Vancouver experiences ongoing real estate spikes precipitated by a suge of Asian flight capital flooding into residential markets,' the report notes.
 
...the study says the most precious real estate commodity - better than retail malls, industrial business parks or office towers - is the suburban single-family detached house.
 
In Metro Vancouver, geographical, and political restrictions further limiht the land opportunities for single-family developement, which sustain single-family detached house prices.
 
Yet, demand for new detached houses in the suburbs remains constant.  In South Delta, for example, when developer Ron Toigo released 20 new detached houses this year on a pre-sale basis, every house sold within a month.  "
 
A recent report from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver shows how an investment in detached suburban house has performed.  In the past 10 years, the October price surveyed confirms, the typical suburban house has increased in value by 161%, and is even higher in some markets. 
 
The past five years showed an increase of 36%, and the past 3 years, while most stocks and equities tanked, the simple home has increased by more than 23% in value."
 
Food for thought.  If you're considering making a move in 2012 call me!  Karen Conyers 604-240-3377.
 
 
 
 
 
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Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Mortgage rate change - possibly.

Courtesy of Darren Popoff.
 
 
Mortgage News & Rate Update
Bank of Canada Could Slash rates Next Year
  • Sheryl King, an economist at Bank of America Merril Lynch, said in a note that the volatility hitting Europe and the risk of damage to the global economy means the Bank of Canada will move to cut its benchmark interest rate to ward off the risk of recession. Her prediction is the cut will be a whopping 0.75% decrease from the current rate of 1%.
  • Ms. King forecasts that the cut would come in two phases, with a 0.50% trim being announced during the bank’s January 17 meeting, while the second and final 0.25% cut coming during the March 8 meeting.
  • Also predicting a lower interest rate next year was David Madani, Canada economist at Capital Economics. He is forecasting a more mild cut of 50 basis points, however, saying he expects it to occur in April or June.

Read the full article here - BoC could slash rates

Up until now the talk has been an increase in rates next year.  Just like the weather, everyone has their opinion and the fine print always states "subject to change".  Regardless of rates possibly being lower next near, chances are prices will be higher so from your buyers prespective, today is a good time to buy.   I am here to help so please call and get your buyers qualified!

Email me at darren@mortgagebydarren.com or call 604.818.9262 anytime. 

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Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Plastic money - but not a credit card?

Only 40 sleeps until Christmas and it seems that the Bank of Canada celebrated by releasing plastic $100 bills into circulation yesterday. Banks would certainly prefer that we all use plastic for payments however, they were hoping it would be by way of debit and credit cards which they can charge user fees on.  The $100 bill is just the beginning, $50 bills will be released in May and $20, $10 and $5 bills are scheduled to be available in 2013. With the release of these new bills, the Bank of Canada is showing that it understands that cash is still king and respecting that Canadians need a currency they can count on.  The new polymer bill costs almost double what paper bills costs to produce at $0.19 however, they are also estimated to last 2.5 times longer.  Paper bills will be slowly removed from circulation, so be prepared to tell your kids that "once upon a time" money was made of paper. 

 

In mortgage news, interest rates are staying stable with only minor movements in fixed rates and variable discounts.  With prime expected to stay low until 2013, it is unlikely that deep discounts will return any time soon to variable products.

 

If you are looking to buy your first home, tomorrow is the last day to register for the First Time Home Buyers Seminar and Tour happening on Sunday, November 20 from 1pm - 4pm in Langley.  The tour will begin at the Sutton West Coast Realty office on Willowbrook drive where in a 45 minute seminar we will explain the ins and outs of buy a first home.  This will be followed by a tour of available properties in the Langley/Clayton area.  Please email me by Wednesday, November 16th at 9pm to register at jamiemoi@jamiemoi.com

 

All the best!

    

Jamie Moi, AMP
Dominion Lending Centres - West Coast Mortgages
Your mortgage consultants for life
604-534-6504
jamiemoi@jamiemoi.com  

 

And don't forget to check out our Facebook page at  

www.facebook.com/JamieMoiMortgageTeam.   

 

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Friday, November 4, 2011

What do I do anyway?

The following is a list of duties and services that I provide to you as either a seller or a buyer.
1. "As a licensed REALTOR® and member of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board,I am legally obligated to protect and
promote the interests of my principals, as I would my own, and to abide by the by-laws, Standards of Business Practice
Code of Ethics as set by the Board".
2. Explain the Working with a REALTOR® brochure and agency obligations.
3. Provide undivided loyalty to the client.
4. Obey all lawful instructions of the client
5. Keep the confidences of the client
6. Exercise reasonable care and skill in performing duties
7. Account for all money and property while acting for the client
8. Cooperate with other Realtors
9. Explain real estate terms and practices
10. Provide and explain all forms
11. Communicate on a regular basis in a manner agreeable to you
12. Disclose in a timely manner all known facts affecting the transaction
13. Conduct market analysis and advise an appropriate listing price
14. Locate properties available to view and consider
15. Facilitate viewing properties and provide guidance
16. Advise regarding selection of the right property
17. Prepare and submit all necessary listing documentation
18. Advertise the listing on the MLS® and on REALTOR®.ca or ICX.ca
19. Assist in qualifying buyers
20. Arrange showings at times acceptable to the seller and, if any tenants, subject to tenant's rights
21. Discover facts pertaining to the properly
22. lnform of closing procedures and policies
23. Identify and estimate costs for closings
24. Advise on competitive offers, including appropriate conditions and subjects
25. Prepare offers at client's direction (buyer side)
26. Prepare a legally binding Contract of Purchase and Sale (buyer side)
27. Review Contracts of Purchase and Sale submitted for the seller's consideration
28. Present all offers promptly and objectively
29. Negotiate favourable terms and conditions
30. Assist in arranging suitable financing if necessary
31. Advise client to seek independent advice on matters outside the expertise of the licensee, such as property
inspections, legal, or other required services
32. Assist in removal of conditions, completion and possession process
33. Disclose all fees earned through the transaction
34. Marketing plan - page 2 (not included here ).
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Sunday, October 9, 2011

Most expensive streets per sq ft in Vancouver.

The other day I wrote about the most expensive streets for residential property per sq footage in the White Rock South Surrey area, and promised to write about Vancouver's streets.

 

Well, what I found was this:

The most expensive street in Vancouver, according to the MLS listings, was Point Grey Rd., with 3 sales and an average of $2409.31 per sq ft.  Second on the list was Newton Wynd with 4 sales at $1915.52 per sq ft.  Laurier was 3rd with 3 sales averaging $1325.80, and Osler St., was fourth with 2 sales.

 

What you may find interesting is  Osler had the most expensive home sold - after 366 days on market.  It sold for $17,500,000.--October 2010.  

 

There were 25 sales in Greater Vancouver over the last 12months over $5m. with an average of $1497.59 and an average of 120 days on market.  

 

So, if you're an international buyer for residential properties Vancouver is still a bargain compared to the rest of the most expensive streets in the world.

 

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Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Priciest Streets in South Surrey/White Rock

Yesterday the Institute for Luxury Home Marketing put out a blog naming the priciest streets in the world for residential real estate, according to a post on the Overseas Property Mall Blog.

 

Here are the top 3.

 

1. Severn St., Hong Kong, China    a whopping $78,200.  PER SQUARE FOOT!

 

2. Kensington Palace Gardens, London, England  $76,600. sq ft

 

3. Avenue Princess Grace, Monte-Carlo, Monaco  $69,700. sq ft.

 

Now, compare that to our bargain basement price average per square foot here in sunny South Surrey for the past 12 months of sales.

 

1. Crescent Drive, Surrey, BC  at $599.41 sq ft

 

2. Marine Drive, White Rock/Surrey, BC  at  $563.95 sq ft

 

3. Crescent Road, Surrey, BC  at $436.17 sq ft

 

Now, Terry Rd., and Woodcrest came between Marine Drive and Crescent Rd., but they only had 1 sale per street over $1m  in the last 12 months and I didn't think that that was a fair comparison.  The other streets had a minimum of 6 sales over the past 12 months, a better indicator of price per square foot.

 

In relation to the most expensive streets in the world, our prices are at absolute give-aways.  Not saying that they're not expensive, don't get me wrong, but it's always good to have a global perspective when we're talking real estate and why people like to buy here.  

 

Watch for another blog for Vancouver prices per square foot later this week.

 

Thanks for reading!

 

 

 

 

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Wednesday, October 5, 2011

BMO Predicts interest rates will stay flat until 2013.

BMO predicts interest rates will stay flat until 2013

reposted courtesy of Jamie Moi.  

 

The Canadian Press

Date: Tue. Oct. 4 2011 1:56 PM ET

 

TORONTO - A big Canadian bank predicts the slumping economy will put interest rates on hold, or moving lower, until at least until 2013.

In an interest rate outlook released Tuesday, the Bank of Montreal said it does not expect interest rates to rise again until the early part of 2013.

That's about six months later than earlier forecasts that rates would stay flat until the fall of 2012 as the Bank of Canada tries to boost the sagging economy.

In the bank's report, BMO Capital Markets senior economist Michael Gregory said the weaker global economy has squeezed commodities, the Canadian dollar and undermined growth in Canada.

That has kept inflation in check and made it more likely the Bank of Canada will hold the line on rates.

In fact, Gregory said, there is a good chance the central bank will cut rates over the next six months -- by close to half a point.

That's good news for homeowners with variable-rate mortgages and consumers financing loans and lines of credit tied to the prime rate. However, even rock-bottom rates may not be enough to spur consumers to spend if job loss fears grow and incomes sag.

In the United States, the Federal Reserve Board has already said it will keep rates low for another two years or so in the hopes of injecting consumer confidence back into the troubled economy.

"As global economic risks have escalated, casting commodity prices and the Canadian dollar much weaker, the Bank of Canada's diminishing tightening bias has probably diminished further," said Gregory.

"We now judge that the resumption of rate hikes will be an early-2013 affair."

The report noted that with recession risks building on both sides of the Canada-U.S. border, and the next six months being particularly critical, the odds of Bank of Canada cutting rates are also growing.

"The market is currently pricing in a little less than two (quarter point) rate cuts by April 2012," Gregory said.

"However, with core CPI inflation not far below its two per cent target, the loonie, now more than six cents weaker than where the bank had assumed in its projections, and a continued well-functioning domestic bank credit creation process, we judge the policy easing bar remains high. Short of signs of imminent recession, the bank should remain on hold."

The BMO report also projected the loonie will settle at around 93 cents U.S. next year.

"During the second half of 2012, with global economic and commodity price prospects improving, the currency's fortunes should shift with a flight plan back to parity by January 2013."

DLC logo

Jamie Moi, AMP
Dominion Lending Centres - West Coast Mortgages
ph: 604.534.6504
fax: 604.534.6592
http://www.jamiemoi.com
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Monday, October 3, 2011

Colour - the possibilities are endless!

Paint is the simplest and most economical way to make a small space appear larger.  So a can of paint and a little imagination will go a long way to making the most of your living area.

 

Hints:

Draw the line-paint a horizontal stripe around a small room to make it look deeper and wider. If the room is narrow, try thin vertical stripes in monochromatic tones.

           

Cool colours, such as soft blues, creams purples and greens will make any area feel open and airy.

           

Don't forget about lighting.  Good lighting makes a colour appear lighter, so rooms that have a lot of natural light could handle a warmer colour.

           

The secret to painting a small area, is to eliminate visual distractions.  Try painting the trim in the room a different shade of the main colour by adding black or white to the base.

   

Low ceiings? No problem.  Paint a one foot border around the edge of the ceiling in the same colour as the walls.  Or, paint the bottom half of a wall in a darker colour than the top.  Glossy paint will also make a ceiling look higher and rooms appear larger due to the reflection of light.

 

Above all, have fun, be brave and you'll be amazed at how quickly you can transform your home. You'll wonder why you took so long.

 

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Friday, December 10, 2010

10 year price comparison in GVRD

November 2010 vs. 2000 Real Estate Stats

November 2010 vs. 2000 Real Estate Stats

November 2000
1,730 detached, attached & apartment properties sold
$340,490 = Detached benchmark price
$218,520 = Attached benchmark price
$159,160 = Condo benchmark price

November 2010
2,509 detached, attached & apartment properties sold
$799,312 = Detached benchmark price
$488,733 = Attached benchmark price
$389,168 = Condo benchmark price

What does this mean?
145% increase on units sold in 2010 vs. 2000
235% increase in detached home value
224% increase in attached home value
245% increase in condo value

If your detached home is worth the Greater Vancouver average of $799,312 today. Statistically it could be work $1,875,185 in 10 years. That is a good feeling if you are a home owner.
 
courtesy of Jessi Johnson, mtge broker,  www.ownyourlife.ca
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Thursday, February 25, 2010

Olympics

Have you been into Vancouver while the Olympics have been going on?  My husband and I went last Friday to feel the vibe! And what a vibe there was! In fact, we enjoyed ourselves so much we're going again in the evening to catch the "feeling".  We had the good fortune to catch a couple taking photos of the cauldron while we were there - camera batteries died- and asked if they would email a couple of pictures - which they did!  Have a look at her blog and website at www.fotoartphotography.net.  What a great day just watching allllll the people, feeling the joy and pride, getting my picture taken with a silver Elvis impersonator, walking along the closed off streets.  How fortunate are we to live in this beautiful part of the world.  I wonder about those residents who left town and if they are regretting their decision.  Oh well, GO CANADA!!!!!
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Rate increase?

Going Up?


Last week I had a unique privilege to be able to attend an Economic Forum held in Langley where Cameron Muir, the Chief Economist for the BC Real Estate Association, was speaking.   Here are a few of the points he touch on in his hour long presentation.
 
In the last year, the Untied States has produced only a third of the amount of new homes that Canada has.  We have seen about $1.3 million new homes come on to the market while the US new home market bottomed out at only 475,000. This low number is still rather pathetic if one considers that the US government has been running an incentive plan which offered new home buyers an $8000 kick back.  Still today in the US over half of the homes sold are distressed sales and many people are still going through foreclosure south of the border.  In Canada, we remain at about the same levels for foreclosure and mortgages in arrears (meaning the mortgage is more than 3 months behind in payments) however, the number of bankruptcies did increase. The real economic recovery will not show up until 2011, said Muir, and this is despite a rebounding real estate market that has surpassed expectations.  Prices, he speculated, will likely remain stable as will interest rates until mid-2010, as the Banks of Canada has promised. Come mid-2010 interest rates will increase and Muir said he would not be surprised if by mid-2011 the prime rates has risen from 2.25% to 4.25%.  If the economy is strong, we will likely see increment increases of 0.5% at a time as opposed the traditional 0.25% increases we have seen in the past.
 
What this all means is that rates will increase next year and if you have a variable rate and would like to discuss options, please call Robyn or I and we will be happy to help you makes the best mortgage decision for your situation.

Meridian Logo Gold

Jamie Moi
Meridian West Coast Mortgages
ph: 604.534.6504
fax: 604.534.6592
http://www.jamiemoi.com
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Metro Vancouver housing prices to rise

B.C. house prices forecast to hit new highs over next 2 years

 

 
 
 

B.C.'s born-again real-estate market will see house prices hit record levels in 2010 and 2011, a new report predicts.

Low mortgage rates and economic recovery are driving the sector's resurgent activity, Central 1 Credit Union said as it released a market forecast yesterday.

"The strong market momentum coming out of the recession will carry into 2010, driving unit sales and prices to new highs," Central 1 chief economist Helmut Pastrick said.

Housing sales, which fell 25 per cent in 2008, will rise 10 per cent this year and 30 per cent in 2010.

Sales are expected to dip slightly in 2011, reflecting a typical cyclical sequence of strong initial recovery, fall-back and then a renewed climb, Central 1 said.

The median sales price for residential properties in the province will climb to $369,000 in 2009 from $360,000 in 2008, Central 1 said.

A six-per-cent gain in each of the next two years will drive the median price to a record $391,000 in 2010 and $415,000 in 2011, Central 1 said.

"The monthly sales price will set a new high before the end of this year, regaining the entire amount lost during the recession," it said.

Housing starts, which will plunge from 34,321 in 2008 to an expected 14,600 this year, will also strengthen over the next two years.

The arrival of the harmonized sales tax on July 1, 2010, will add to the cost of higher-priced new homes, spurring builders to produce more units before it takes effect, Central 1 said.

"Builders are expected to ramp up production to meet the strong pickup in sales and build houses early in the year to beat the implementation of the HST," Central 1 said.

Starts will rebound almost 50 per cent to 21,400 units next year, rising to 27,500 in 2011.

Renovation spending is expected to rise four per cent to $5.5 billion this year from $5.3 billion last year.

With the Home Renovation Tax Credit expiring next February, renovation spending will slip to $5.35 billion in 2010. Resumed growth in 2011 will see spending rise to $5.65 billion that year, Central 1 said.

The jump in housing sales has been much more robust in metropolitan markets such as Vancouver and Victoria than in resource-dependent areas of northern B.C. or the Kootenay. Multiple Listing Sales will grow 45 per cent in Vancouver and 25 per cent in Victoria this year, the report said.

But sales gains of 30-50 per cent next year in the Okanagan, the northeast and Vancouver Island outside of Victoria will surpass the 20-25 per cent expected for Vancouver and Victoria.

A double-dip recession is identified as the biggest risk factor in the credit union's forecast but is given a less than 20-per-cent probability.

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Thursday, October 1, 2009

New Listing - Seneca Woods

 

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Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Lower Mainland and Victoria Markets help raise average home price in BC.

B.C. posts string housing sales for August

 
Uneven results, though as Lower Mainland and Victoria register better gains
 
By Derrick Penner, Vancouver Sun
September 11, 2009
 
VANCOUVER - By the end of August home sales recorded through the Multiple Listing Service across British Columbia had more than equalled the number of sales recorded during the same period of 2008, the B.C. Real Estate Association reported Friday.
That came as a result of strong sales in August, a month that saw 8,565 units change hands through MLS, which was 66 per cent higher than the number of sales across the province in the same month a year ago.
Sales results, however, have been uneven as the province's resource-dependent regions that have been more deeply bit by the recession haven't fared as well as the Lower Mainland and Victoria.
"Every region has shown improvement since the beginning of the year," Cameron Muir, chief economist for the B.C. Real Estate Association, said in an interview.
"But when you look at the south coast and Victoria, you see a sharp upturn. In the Interior or north, it's more of a gradual increase in terms of market conditions."
And in the Lower Mainland and Victoria, the markets have experienced greater price stabilization that helped raise B.C.'s average home price in August 12 per cent to $471,078 compared with $421,685 a year ago.
Muir added that current year-over-year comparisons pit this year's sales rebound against the beginning of last year's precipitous decline in sales, so "you're going to see some wild swings."
And while current sales are driven by the pent-up demand of buyers who sat out the market decline of last fall and winter, but are now jumping back in to take advantage of historically low mortgage interest rates and lower prices, he doesn't expect the rebound to continue as strongly.
"Record-setting levels are unlikely given the economy is crawling out of recession and full recovery of the B.C. economy is still some distance away," Muir said.
Still, Muir said the recovery B.C. has seen in real estate sales is a positive sign of growing consumer confidence and evidence that the household financial conditions of buyers are "in relatively good shape."
"The expectation is that typically in a recession, consumers are the first out of the gate [to start spending] to signal that [economic] recovery is soon to follow," he added.
However, eight of province's 12 real estate boards reported sales down from the same period a year ago.
The Northern Lights district of B.C.'s northeast saw the biggest decline in sales with 41 per cent fewer transactions in August and 38 per cent fewer for the year as of Aug. 31.

© Copyright (c) The Vancouver Sun

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Jamie Moi
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Tuesday, September 1, 2009

The Language Barrier

So, there I was, holding an open house today and in walks a family of 3, at least I think they were family, as they really only spoke an Asian language and very little English.  It's interesting to listen to them talk to each other - I only wish I understood what they were saying.  I think their body language was in their first language also, as I couldn't understand that either other than the thumbs up I managed to get from them.
 
I have many people come into the house who speak at least one other language fluently and do so to each other - I have yet to determine if it's to keep me in the dark about what they think of the house, the price, the finishing, or are they really talking about me, or what they're having for dinner that night.  For all I know it's any and all of the above.
 
Even though Caucasion is still predominant in the Lower Mainland, there have been days when I have felt like a major minority.  It's the weirdest thing.  Of course when I was growing up in White Rock, we didn't have many people from Asia living here and French and English were the only two languages offered in schools. So even if I'd wanted to, I wouldn't have had an easy opportunity to learn anything different. 
 
If you're faced with this situation, do you ask them politely to speak English if you know that they can, or just let them have their very private conversation?
 
It makes for an interesting day.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2009

CIBC: Interest Rates to remain low

Jamie Moi
Meridian West Coast Mortgages
ph: 604.534.6504
fax: 604.534.6592
http://www.jamiemoi.com
CIBC: muted growth means Bank of Canada unlikely to raise rates till 2011

 
(CP) - Aug 25, 2009
TORONTO - The Bank of Canada is unlikely to hike interest rates until 2011 because the lingering effects of the global economic meltdown will continue to mute both growth and inflation, according to a report issued Tuesday by CIBC World Markets.
"While the 2009 recession may already be over, the slack it created is both large and likely to persist," said CIBC chief economist Avery Shenfeld.
"Unlike the Bank of Canada, we don't expect growth to average above the non-inflationary potential until 2011," Shenfeld added.
"But even under (Bank of Canada) Governor (Mark) Carney's more optimistic trajectory, inflation will still be feeling the downward pressure of a sizable output gap next year, one as large as we saw in the early 1980s and 1990s downturns."
He predicted both headline and core prices would cross paths in the second quarter of 2010, at a level well under the Bank of Canada's two per cent target.
"As a result, Canada's inflation rate will be no threat to the bank easily fulfilling its pledge to keep interest rates at a slim quarter point through mid-2010," he said. "In fact, market expectations for rate hikes in the first half of 2010 could be a full year too premature."
While the core inflation rate did not decelerate as much as the Bank of Canada predicted earlier this year, there are reasons to expect a further easing in core inflation ahead, Shenfeld said, including "what economists call the income effect."
Shenfeld notes that by stripping out volatile items from the CPI, the Bank of Canada's core measure now excludes most of the items that have been deflating.
With the volatile measures included, headline CPI is negative, largely driven by the dive in gasoline prices from a year ago. Lower gas prices have pulled down costs for intercity transportation fares as well, which the Bank of Canada also excludes from core inflation. Other non-core items such as natural gas, fuel oil and mortgage interest costs have also eased off.
"The deep dive in non-core items has left those Canadians still working with some spending power," Shenfeld said in explaining the income effect.
"While nominal wages have begun to decelerate in a slack labour market, a negative year-on-year inflation rate has meant that in real terms, the buying power of the average wage has escalated."
"So after filling their gas tank and paying their new, lower, mortgage bills, Canadians simply have more money in their pockets when they go shopping for other items, keeping those prices aloft."
Shenfeld notes that economic slack usually takes time to exert its disinflationary force and believes the upward pressure on prices will ease in the coming months.
Meanwhile, less benign headline inflation expected next year "implies diminished buying power for other goods, contributing to a cooling in core CPI."
"With a lag, a strong Canadian dollar will also provide a dampening impact on retail prices for imported goods and services."
Meanwhile, unlike the central bank's outlook, the CIBC report does not see the Canadian economy gaining much benefit from a forecasted U.S. recovery.
CIBC's analysis finds that protectionist trade barriers and a tilt in U.S. stimulus spending towards industries that have less-than-average propensities to import from Canada, will dampen the benefits that this country typically sees from economic growth south of the border.
Copyright © 2009 The Canadian Press. All rights reserved

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Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Harmonized sales tax and home ownership

Wendy Stueck
Vancouver - From Wednesday's Globe and Mail Last updated on Monday, Aug. 17, 2009 10:09AM EDT
Housing starts in British Columbia fell by 10 per cent in July from the previous month, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation said yesterday.
But that trend is expected to reverse for the rest of the year, as demand picks up and some buyers rush to close a deal before the province's new harmonized sales tax takes effect on July 1, 2010.
"Generally, when a tax is announced like this, there could be a pickup in sales activity prior to the implementation of the tax," Carol Frketich, a regional economist with CMHC, said yesterday.
"But to discern it from a regular pickup in the sales, because of stronger economic conditions or job growth - it's going to be hard to determine."
Premier Gordon Campbell announced last month that B.C. will combine its 7-per-cent provincial sales tax with the 5-per-cent federal Goods and Services Tax to create a single 12-per-cent harmonized sales tax.
The province says the new tax will save businesses millions of dollars and make B.C. more competitive with other jurisdictions, including Ontario and the Atlantic provinces, that have harmonized their taxes.
But in letters to the editor, calls to open-line radio shows and online forums, including Facebook groups that have been formed to slam the tax, many B.C. residents are voicing their anger, saying it will make everything from haircuts to dining out more expensive.
The government is also taking a drubbing for introducing the tax after the May provincial election, which resulted in a third term for Mr. Campbell.
Under B.C.'s new system, buyers of homes worth up to $400,000 will receive a partial rebate that will result in them paying about the same amount of tax they do now. Buyers of homes worth more than $800,000 will receive a flat rebate of about $20,000.
In the Lower Mainland's pricey housing market, that could mean many buyers will face thousands of dollars of additional costs if they buy after the new tax kicks in.
National housing starts declined 5.5 per cent in July from the previous month, CMHC said, with most of the drop attributable to the volatile multiple-unit housing segment. Housing starts are expected to improve throughout the rest of the year.
Along with the 10-per-cent drop in B.C., housing starts fell by 17 per cent in the Prairies, 15 per cent in Ontario and 1.4 per cent in Atlantic Canada.
Housing starts increased by 16.6 per cent in Quebec in July.




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Jamie Moi
Meridian West Coast Mortgages
ph: 604.534.6504
fax: 604.534.6592
http://www.jamiemoi.com
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