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Wednesday, June 24, 2009

The Name is Bond

If you want to know where rates are headed, watch the bonds

By Fred Langan
Financial Post
June 18, 2009
  
Mortgages are the biggest loan in just about everyone's life. And they can be the hardest to understand.
Why do mortgage rates move the way they do? Why don't the rates march in lock step with other interest rates? When the Bank of Canada lowers interest rates the big banks usually play chicken for several hours, waiting to see who will drop rates first. At the last cut, the TD Bank was the first to lower prime. The others followed within the hour.
If you had a variable rate mortgage tied to prime, then your mortgage rate moved lower. But all other mortgage rates stayed put.
Why? One pat answer is mortgage rates don't move with prime because mortgages are financed in the bond market. Not true. Interest rates in the bond market influence mortgage rates, but that isn't where the money for mortgages comes from.
Banks get their mortgage money the same way they get other money: They take in deposits from bank accounts, GICs, etc., and then loan out the money at a higher rate. The difference, or the spread, is how commercial banks make most of their money. The banks then put thousands of those mortgages together and repackage them as "mortgage-backed securities." These are sold to other institutions as a unit.
Since Canadian first mortgages are typically backed by housing assets, mortgage-backed securities here are seen as pretty safe investments, though the subprime variety were a disaster in the United States.
Here's where bonds come in: The bond market is made up of traders sitting at terminals in the world's financial capitals. The market is much bigger than the stock market and in many ways more important since it affects day-today interest rates.
When then banks want to set mortgage rates, they look at the yield, or interest rate, the bond is paying.
"So, if you want to know where mortgage rates are heading, watch the yields on government of Canada bonds," says Brendan Calder, now an adjunct professor at the Rotman School of Management at the University of Toronto. "That's what mortgage brokers do."
Canadians have borrowed a total of $879-billion against their houses, according to the Bank of Canada.
© Copyright (c) Canwest News Service


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Jamie Moi
Meridian West Coast Mortgages
ph: 604.534.6504
fax: 604.534.6592
http://www.jamiemoi.com
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Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Is it too late to refinance?

Roma Luciw
Globe and Mail Update, Monday, Jun. 15, 2009 11:12AM EDT
The days of ridiculously cheap mortgage rates appear to be over. Now they're just cheap.
A sudden and dramatic jump in rates from Wednesday to Thursday means Canadians looking to break their existing mortgage and refinance at a lower rate may have missed the sweetest spot in recent history. But that doesn't mean people can't still trim their payments.
"We are not going to see these rates again for a while, not in the immediate horizon and maybe never," says Gary Siegle, a Calgary-based manager at mortgage broker Invis. "But rates are still at historical lows. Depending on what your penalties are, there is still money to be saved."
Toronto-Dominion Bank kicked off the hiking party, raising its five-year closed mortgages - the one of the most commonly chosen by Canadian homeowners - by a whopping 0.4 percentage points to 5.85 per cent on Wednesday.
That hike, its biggest in nearly a year, is on top of a 0.2-point increase unveiled last week by TD and several other big Canadian banks. Three other big banks followed in TD's footsteps and raised their posted rates in the last twenty-four hours, and other lenders are expected to follow suit.
With interest rates floating near generational lows, Canadian home owners who locked in last week may have been fortunate enough to negotiate a fixed-rate five-year mortgage as low as 3.65 per cent. "Clients who locked in during the last few months will enjoy the benefits of rates lower than any we have ever seen," says Eric Iankelevic, a mortgage agent with mortgagebrokers.com in Toronto.
Although no one knows where interest rates are headed, the consensus is that they are unlikely to be this low again for a long time.
"These are really emergency interest rates but emergencies do not last forever," says CIBC World Market economist Benjamin Tal. "I do think that interest rates will rise, I don't think it will happen in the very near future but three, four, five months from now they will be higher. Definitely a year from now they will be higher. And in two years, they could be notably higher."
The stunningly low interest rates have led many Canadians to break their existing mortgage and get in at a lower rate. Mortgage brokers say that despite the penalties associated with it, a massive chunk of their recent business has been refinancing existing mortgages. And despite the latest jump in mortgage rates, they don't expect that to change.
Kim Arnold, a mortgage consultant with Dreyer Group Mortgages in Vancouver, says with mortgage rate still well below their historical norm, it is still a good time to look at refinancing.
The decision to break an existing mortgage depends on the penalty, as well as how many years are left on the existing mortgage. It might, for instance, make more sense to break a mortgage with a year left on it as opposed to one with four years left.
"It is not always worth it," Ms. Arnold says. "It depends on the lender and it depends on the penalty."
Penalties for breaking a mortgage loan can be either the greater of three months' interest or the difference between the interest the bank could make on your mortgage as originally arranged versus lending money out at current rates. Most recently the so-called interest rate differential, or IRD, is the larger penalty and the one many lenders use.
All of this is specific to the lender and subject to negotiation. In some cases, banks will do a blended rate, which blends the existing mortgage with the lower current rate. At the end of the day, home owners may or may not end up paying less interest than if they had stuck with their current mortgage.
Mr. Iankelevic says some of the best deals out there are the variable-rate mortgages. Given that the Bank of Canada has said interest rates are likely to remain unchanged until the second quarter of 2010, a variable rate can provide huge savings for home owners who can stomach a little risk. 
 

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Jamie Moi
Meridian West Coast Mortgages
ph: 604.534.6504
fax: 604.534.6592
http://www.jamiemoi.com
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Monday, June 15, 2009

Renovations and your insurance

Doing Home Renos? Check Your Insurance

 

The new federal home renovation tax credit has highlighted what the insurance industry considers to be a chronic problem of homeowners not having enough coverage.  The temporary new tax measure, announced in the January budget, provides a credit of up to $1,350 for renovations or fix up jobs costing between $1,000 and $10,000. A general rule if you're undertaking a reno that adds substantial value to your home: Call your insurer.  It's quite possible your chat will result in you paying a little more in home insurance premiums, which I can tell you from personal experience have risen sharply in recent years. But from the point of view of minimizing hassles if you ever have to make a claim, the extra cost will be worth it.

 

"Your home is the largest single investment you'll make, and it's worth it to protect it," said Anne Marie Thomas, an account manager with InsuranceHotline.com and a former underwriter and broker.

 

The home reno tax credit was announced as part of a package of measures to stimulate the economy, and it seems to be working. ResMor Trust Co., a small player specializing in mortgages, commissioned an online survey of 1,000 Canadians recently and found that 70 percent planned to renovate their home before the Feb. 1 deadline for using the home reno tax credit. Almost 40 percent said the decision to renovate or the amount to be spent was influenced by the tax credit.

 

But even if you're not renovating, it still might be worth a call to your home insurer. When you set up a home insurance policy, you have to answer a number of questions designed to help the insurer decide how much the replacement value of your home would be. Note: This pertains to the cost of rebuilding, refurnishing and restocking your house, not its value in the real estate marketplace.  Let's say the replacement value of your home is set at $200,000, and then you spend $25,000 to finish your basement. If you don't notify your insurer and your house burns down, your coverage could fall short of what's ultimately required, leaving you out of pocket for some of the replacement costs.

 

"There's a lot of talk in the industry about people being under-insured," said Chris Cooney, vice-president of pricing for the home and auto division of RBC Insurance. "That's the situation where someone needs $400,000 of coverage and only has $200,000 or $300,000 of coverage."

 

Leonard Sharman, a media spokesman at Co-operators Group in Guelph, Ont., cited a recent article in Canadian Underwriter magazine that said 80 percent of residential homes in Canada are undervalued by 27 percent.  "Homeowners must inform their insurance company of any changes to the home that would increase its value significantly," Mr. Sharman wrote in an e-mail. "This is a requirement in the insurance contract. If such an improvement is not reported to the insurer, it could lead to the client being - in insurance-speak - under-insured."

 

Ms. Thomas, of the online insurance quote service InsuranceHotline.com, said it's worth calling your insurer if your renovation value is going to be more than $5,000. She offered a very rough estimate that a $50,000 reno might cost you an extra $50 a year in premiums.

 

RBC's guidance is that work such as reshingling a roof qualifies as maintenance and thus shouldn't affect the replacement value of your home. Remodelling of kitchens or bathrooms and installing hardwood floors would similarly be considered maintenance rather than improvements.  Premium upgrades, however, may require that you call your insurer. Ms. Thomas said an example would be an expensive granite kitchen countertop, which could cost something close to $10,000.  RBC's examples of jobs that would qualify as improvements include putting an addition on or building a home theatre in the basement. If you're filling your home theatre with expensive electronics, make sure you have sufficient insurance coverage for your home's contents (as distinct from the structure).

 

If your house is going to be vacant for more than 30 days during a renovation, then you've got another reason to call your insurer. Unless you get what's called a vacancy permit, you may find your coverage applies only minimally or not at all while you're away.  Ms. Thomas said it's important to consider your contractor's insurance as well as your own when undertaking a renovation. Ask to see the contractor's comprehensive general liability policy, which should protect against damage to your home or a neighbour's.    Your contractor's coverage is especially important because some home insurance policies won't cover damage caused by renovation, construction or repair. RBC suggests contractors should have a minimum of $1 million in coverage.

 

  * 28 May 2009  * The Globe and Mail  * Rob Carrick
 
Information provided by Corwin Luke of The Mortgage Group Canada Inc.
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